my first guess will be 490 even i believe he will get more than that with captains. well lets see how it will gonna end.
He may sell them and go for piracy again or will go as a pure trader or just get ships for make it both at same time we wont really know until the time comes. thats why this event that good.
I think even Avery himself dont know how many ships he will have at the end of this competition. That parts make this competition even more exciting to see. its not only a simple guess its also include knowing your opponent's playstyle and decisions. im really excited to see how this will end:P
Mugiwara...