Haron wrote:You still don't get it, do you?
Deaths come AFTER infections. Days after. Weeks after. Exactly how long after, varies. That means death rates are "smoothed", and any increase or decrease in deaths will come after an increase or a decrease in inflations.
So if infection rates are rising now, it means that death rates will take longer before dropping to a normal level, or they may even increase further in a week or three, at least if infection rates continue to rise.
My grahs show infection rates varying as a sinus curve, for simplicity. That's the blue line. The other line is death rates, assuming that death occurs 0-29 days after infection, with all delays being equally probable.
Oh i get what your saying, what your not getting is that even with what you just said, the death rate has been flat no matter the increase of cases since May, as a matter of fact it has decreased. So unless you are saying that we have to wait 6 months for a person with corona to pass then your argument does not match the actual data from the Center of Disease Control.
Aside from a slight increase and the decrease in April, there has been NO increase in the amount of deaths per day that goes along with the exponential increase in positives. How many more months before we can expect to see the rise of deaths from May, June, July, August, September, and October? I thought there was a two to 3 week infection period?!